[Lnc-business] How many elections are "winnable" this November for the LP?

Vicki Kirkland vickilp12 at gmail.com
Mon Oct 20 14:02:04 EDT 2014


Scott:
Please identify the races you consider winnable.
VK


On Mon, Oct 20, 2014 at 1:18 PM, Scott L. <scott73 at earthlink.net> wrote:

>
>
> That information is proprietary.
>
>
>
>
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> OK – seriously – I have been around the block many times.  I have a pretty
> good idea of what is achievable given the number of members and registered
> voters that we have.
>
>
>
> Basically – if you are running for a local election in a district under
> 60,000 in population you have a chance to win if you do everything
> correctly.
>
>
>
> If you are running in a partisan election, you are probably not going to
> win this time around unless you are running unopposed.
>
>
>
> I know the above will not sit well with some people, but don’t just say I
> am wrong – make your own prediction so that we can compare how accurate our
> predictions are  on the day after the election.
>
>
>
>     Scott Lieberman
>
>
>
>
> GGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGg
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> Request for information:  What were the criteria for winnable?
>
>
>
> Joshua A. Katz
>
> Westbrook CT Planning Commission (L in R seat)
>
>
>
> GGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG
>
>
>
> I just went thru the  *A to D section* of our nationwide list of
> candidates for 2014.
>
> Total candidates                         113
>
> Total number of winnable races            18
>
> Total # of ballot access retention races  14  (1)
>
> Percentage of  *non-ballot-access-retention candidates * that have a
> chance of winning    16%.
>
>  Scott Lieberman
>
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>
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