<div dir="ltr">Request for information: What were the criteria for winnable? <div><br></div><div>Joshua Katz</div></div><div class="gmail_extra"><br clear="all"><div><div dir="ltr">Joshua A. Katz<div>Westbrook CT Planning Commission (L in R seat)</div></div></div>
<br><div class="gmail_quote">On Mon, Oct 20, 2014 at 12:58 PM, Scott L. <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:scott73@earthlink.net" target="_blank">scott73@earthlink.net</a>></span> wrote:<br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana">I just went thru the <u>A to D section</u> of our
nationwide list of candidates for 2014.<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Courier New"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Total candidates 113<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Courier New"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Courier New"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Total number of winnable races 18<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Courier New"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Courier New"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Total # of ballot access retention races 14
(1)<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana">Percentage of <b><span style="font-weight:bold">non-ballot-access-retention
candidates </span></b> that have a chance of winning
16%.<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana">I am probably being generous with the percentage of
winnable races, since I did not check to see how much money the opponents had
raised vs. the Libertarian, nor did I check for partisan vs. non-partisan, nor
did I check to see if the seats were open, nor if they were competing against
incumbents. I understand that some of our candidates and state officials
might disagree with my assessment, and that is fine. Nevertheless –
I will go out on a limb and predict that the LP will have 19 victories on
Election Day next month. That includes incumbents running for
re-election.<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana">I know we did not vote for this as a goal. But - if
the LNC could convince our affiliates to sign on to trying to get the
percentage of winners in non-ballot-access-retention races to increase from 16%
to 50% in the November 2016 General Election, while having at least as many
candidates nationwide as we have in this year’s November election, then I
think our members will be very happy on Wednesday, November 9, 2016.<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"> Scott Lieberman<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana"><u></u> <u></u></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font face="Verdana"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Verdana">1. Obviously I do not think that any of the
ballot-access-retention candidates will win their elections. I do hope
that all of them will retain ballot access for their state affiliate.<u></u><u></u></span></font></p>
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