[Lnc-business] How many elections are "winnable" this November for the LP?

[Scott L.]

I just went thru the  A to D section of our nationwide list of candidates
for 2014.

 

 

Total candidates                         113

 

Total number of winnable races            18

 

Total # of ballot access retention races  14  (1)

 

 

Percentage of  non-ballot-access-retention candidates  that have a chance of
winning    16%.

 

 

I am probably being generous with the percentage of winnable races, since I
did not check to see how much money the opponents had raised vs. the
Libertarian, nor did I check for partisan vs. non-partisan, nor did I check
to see if the seats were open, nor if they were competing against
incumbents.  I understand that some of our candidates and state officials
might disagree with my assessment, and that is fine.  Nevertheless - I will
go out on a limb and predict that the LP will have 19 victories on Election
Day next month.  That includes incumbents running for re-election.

 

I know we did not vote for this as a goal.  But - if the LNC could convince
our affiliates to sign on to trying to get the percentage of winners in
non-ballot-access-retention races to increase from 16% to 50% in the
November 2016 General Election, while having at least as many candidates
nationwide as we have in this year's November election, then I think our
members will be very happy on Wednesday, November 9, 2016.

 

  Scott Lieberman

 

 

 

1.   Obviously I do not think that any of the ballot-access-retention
candidates will win their elections.  I do hope that all of them will retain
ballot access for their state affiliate.

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://hq.lp.org/pipermail/lnc-business/attachments/20141020/fe9a8ff7/attachment-0001.html>