[Lnc-business] How many elections are "winnable" this November for the LP?

[Joshua Katz]

Request for information:  What were the criteria for winnable?

Joshua Katz

Joshua A. Katz
Westbrook CT Planning Commission (L in R seat)

On Mon, Oct 20, 2014 at 12:58 PM, Scott L. <scott73 at earthlink.net> wrote:

>
>
> I just went thru the  *A to D section* of our nationwide list of
> candidates for 2014.
>
>
>
>
>
> Total candidates                         113
>
>
>
> Total number of winnable races            18
>
>
>
> Total # of ballot access retention races  14  (1)
>
>
>
>
>
> Percentage of  *non-ballot-access-retention candidates * that have a
> chance of winning    16%.
>
>
>
>
>
> I am probably being generous with the percentage of winnable races, since
> I did not check to see how much money the opponents had raised vs. the
> Libertarian, nor did I check for partisan vs. non-partisan, nor did I check
> to see if the seats were open, nor if they were competing against
> incumbents.  I understand that some of our candidates and state officials
> might disagree with my assessment, and that is fine.  Nevertheless – I will
> go out on a limb and predict that the LP will have 19 victories on Election
> Day next month.  That includes incumbents running for re-election.
>
>
>
> I know we did not vote for this as a goal.  But - if the LNC could
> convince our affiliates to sign on to trying to get the percentage of
> winners in non-ballot-access-retention races to increase from 16% to 50% in
> the November 2016 General Election, while having at least as many
> candidates nationwide as we have in this year’s November election, then I
> think our members will be very happy on Wednesday, November 9, 2016.
>
>
>
>   Scott Lieberman
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> 1.   Obviously I do not think that any of the ballot-access-retention
> candidates will win their elections.  I do hope that all of them will
> retain ballot access for their state affiliate.
>
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>
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