[Lnc-business] my audit of LNC At-Large election
Alicia Mattson
alicia.mattson at lp.org
Thu Jul 12 14:28:46 EDT 2018
Caryn Ann,
The specifics of the write-in votes are right there on the delegation tally
sheets.
I'm not planning to spend even more time right now to scan 48 more sets of
individual ballots. Staff is coming up on an LP News deadline, and I'm
going to move on to other subjects today, with the first being getting the
Platform updated so they can highlight the changes for the membership. If
the LNC wants a full independent audit and additional scanning is needed,
that time investment can come later. I'm also quickly approaching a policy
deadline for the first draft of the 6/30 LNC minutes, so gotta do that, too.
I meant to make this point in my original transmission message, but keep in
mind what numbers I can or can't influence in this process. The numbers
originally written on the delegation tally sheets do not come from me.
They come from delegation chairs who believe those numbers to represent the
vote within that affiliate. If I have accurately moved that number from
the tally sheet into the spreadsheet, then there's little reasonable
complaint to be made. For the instance in which the state's total for me
needed a correction, I have provided the underlying individual ballots as
backup evidence. I have done the same for the changes that impact those
near me in the rankings. I knew as soon as I provided the state-by-state
breakdowns that even further down the ranking list on smaller changes,
questions would exist as to why something is different than the tally sheet
which was submitted. I've provided detailed explanations for those, and
there's no real motive for me to tweak the 15th-ranked person by 1 vote (or
whatever) if the data doesn't support that. This should address most of
the reasonable questions.
And for what it's worth, as I said on the list over the past three days, I
was already building this and was about 95% done with it before the motion
for an independent audit even arose.
-Alicia
On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 12:50 AM, Caryn Ann Harlos <caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org>
wrote:
> I am doing a brief perusal, this is some fantastic data parsing. I am
> curious why the write-ins are not noted specifically?
>
> And as far as Zane Sarwark - minors can be sustaining members with their
> parents signing the pledge on their behalf, at least that is what I have
> been told and seen. Is Zane a sustaining member? If not, Nick needs to get
> on that. I do not think dead gorillas though can be sustaining members so
> Harambe would be ineligible. May he rest in peace.
>
> Will the individual ballots for the other states also be provided rather
> than just TX and CA?
>
> -Caryn Ann
>
> On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 1:38 AM, Caryn Ann Harlos <caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
> > wrote:
>
>> Thank you. I will alert the people who have been asking for them. This
>> also answers Sam's questions as to how the sheets could be transmitted - it
>> is technologically trivial to scan them.
>>
>> On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 1:17 AM, Alicia Mattson via Lnc-business <
>> lnc-business at hq.lp.org> wrote:
>>
>>> The At-Large tallies were made under the immense time pressures of the
>>> tail end of the convention, and as in past years, it is not surprising
>>> for a post-convention audit to find errors that were not caught
>>> onsite.
>>> For your reading pleasure, you can review the appendices of the
>>> minutes
>>> of the previous two conventions for my analyses of those human
>>> errors,
>>> which take place even though people are acting in good faith.
>>> None of the errors revealed by my audit of this year's At-Large race
>>> change the outcome. The top 5 people on July 3 remain the top 5
>>> post-audit.
>>> The largest single discrepancy was that the Colorado delegation tally
>>> sheet under-reported Joe Buchman by 5 votes. His relative ranking did
>>> not change, though.
>>> Attached is an Excel workbook with three sheets (or tabs):
>>> * The first contains the state-by-state breakdown that represents
>>> the
>>> tallies exactly as released onsite on July 3. You'll notice that
>>> some cells are color-coded, and that's an indicator for you to
>>> find
>>> the related note at the bottom of that first tab to answer a
>>> potential question about that number. Each color has its own
>>> section of notes, with a header that explains the color grouping.
>>> White, green and yellow cells include values that did not change
>>> in
>>> the audited results. The pink cells did change in the audited
>>> results for the reasons noted.
>>> * The second tab contains the audited results, updated to factor in
>>> the issues in the pink cells.
>>> * The third tab contains a comparison of the candidate rankings
>>> reported onsite on July 3 with the rankings for the audited
>>> results. The variances are minor and do not change the top 5
>>> finishers.
>>>
>>> Also attached are the delegation tally sheets for comparison with the
>>> details in the spreadsheet. There are 50 sheets, rather than 51. Not
>>> present is the Wyoming sheet. I don't know why that blank page didn't
>>> make it back into my collection, but Wyoming did not vote in any of
>>> the
>>> elections, and you can see from the attached spreadsheet that at the
>>> time of this vote they had 0 delegates credentialed.
>>> The Mattson/Scheetz/Hayes cluster of candidates seems to be attracting
>>> the most interest, and the colored cells for that cluster of
>>> candidates
>>> involve the CA and TX ballots. These are the two largest delegations,
>>> and they had the largest tallying task, which just gives more
>>> opportunities for human error. Immediately after sending this
>>> message,
>>> I'll follow up with another email which has the individual ballots
>>> from
>>> CA and TX attached for your tallying pleasure. The size of the
>>> scanned
>>> files warrants two separate emails, else I'd include them here. I
>>> scanned in full color at 300 dpi so you can see them in all their
>>> glory.
>>> -Alicia
>>>
>>
>>
>>
>> --
>> --
>> *In Liberty,*
>> *Caryn Ann Harlos*
>> Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary - Caryn.Ann.
>> Harlos at LP.org <Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org> or Secretary at LP.org.
>> Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
>>
>> A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
>> *We defend your rights*
>> *And oppose the use of force*
>> *Taxation is theft*
>>
>
>
>
> --
> --
> *In Liberty,*
> *Caryn Ann Harlos*
> Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary - Caryn.Ann.
> Harlos at LP.org <Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org> or Secretary at LP.org.
> Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
>
> A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
> *We defend your rights*
> *And oppose the use of force*
> *Taxation is theft*
>
-------------- next part --------------
Caryn Ann,
The specifics of the write-in votes are right there on the delegation
tally sheets.
I'm not planning to spend even more time right now to scan 48 more sets
of individual ballots. Staff is coming up on an LP News deadline, and
I'm going to move on to other subjects today, with the first being
getting the Platform updated so they can highlight the changes for the
membership. If the LNC wants a full independent audit and additional
scanning is needed, that time investment can come later. I'm also
quickly approaching a policy deadline for the first draft of the 6/30
LNC minutes, so gotta do that, too.
I meant to make this point in my original transmission message, but
keep in mind what numbers I can or can't influence in this process.
The numbers originally written on the delegation tally sheets do not
come from me. They come from delegation chairs who believe those
numbers to represent the vote within that affiliate. If I have
accurately moved that number from the tally sheet into the spreadsheet,
then there's little reasonable complaint to be made. For the instance
in which the state's total for me needed a correction, I have provided
the underlying individual ballots as backup evidence. I have done the
same for the changes that impact those near me in the rankings. I knew
as soon as I provided the state-by-state breakdowns that even further
down the ranking list on smaller changes, questions would exist as to
why something is different than the tally sheet which was submitted.
I've provided detailed explanations for those, and there's no real
motive for me to tweak the 15th-ranked person by 1 vote (or whatever)
if the data doesn't support that. This should address most of the
reasonable questions.
And for what it's worth, as I said on the list over the past three
days, I was already building this and was about 95% done with it before
the motion for an independent audit even arose.
-Alicia
On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 12:50 AM, Caryn Ann Harlos
<[1]caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org> wrote:
I am doing a brief perusal, this is some fantastic data parsing. I am
curious why the write-ins are not noted specifically?
And as far as Zane Sarwark - minors can be sustaining members with
their parents signing the pledge on their behalf, at least that is what
I have been told and seen. Is Zane a sustaining member? If not, Nick
needs to get on that. I do not think dead gorillas though can be
sustaining members so Harambe would be ineligible. May he rest in
peace.
Will the individual ballots for the other states also be provided
rather than just TX and CA?
-Caryn Ann
On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 1:38 AM, Caryn Ann Harlos
<[2]caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org> wrote:
Thank you. I will alert the people who have been asking for them.
This also answers Sam's questions as to how the sheets could be
transmitted - it is technologically trivial to scan them.
On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 1:17 AM, Alicia Mattson via Lnc-business
<[3]lnc-business at hq.lp.org> wrote:
The At-Large tallies were made under the immense time pressures
of the
tail end of the convention, and as in past years, it is not
surprising
for a post-convention audit to find errors that were not caught
onsite.
For your reading pleasure, you can review the appendices of the
minutes
of the previous two conventions for my analyses of those human
errors,
which take place even though people are acting in good faith.
None of the errors revealed by my audit of this year's At-Large
race
change the outcome. The top 5 people on July 3 remain the top 5
post-audit.
The largest single discrepancy was that the Colorado delegation
tally
sheet under-reported Joe Buchman by 5 votes. His relative
ranking did
not change, though.
Attached is an Excel workbook with three sheets (or tabs):
* The first contains the state-by-state breakdown that
represents the
tallies exactly as released onsite on July 3. You'll notice
that
some cells are color-coded, and that's an indicator for you
to find
the related note at the bottom of that first tab to answer a
potential question about that number. Each color has its own
section of notes, with a header that explains the color
grouping.
White, green and yellow cells include values that did not
change in
the audited results. The pink cells did change in the
audited
results for the reasons noted.
* The second tab contains the audited results, updated to
factor in
the issues in the pink cells.
* The third tab contains a comparison of the candidate rankings
reported onsite on July 3 with the rankings for the audited
results. The variances are minor and do not change the top 5
finishers.
Also attached are the delegation tally sheets for comparison with
the
details in the spreadsheet. There are 50 sheets, rather than
51. Not
present is the Wyoming sheet. I don't know why that blank page
didn't
make it back into my collection, but Wyoming did not vote in any
of the
elections, and you can see from the attached spreadsheet that at
the
time of this vote they had 0 delegates credentialed.
The Mattson/Scheetz/Hayes cluster of candidates seems to be
attracting
the most interest, and the colored cells for that cluster of
candidates
involve the CA and TX ballots. These are the two largest
delegations,
and they had the largest tallying task, which just gives more
opportunities for human error. Immediately after sending this
message,
I'll follow up with another email which has the individual
ballots from
CA and TX attached for your tallying pleasure. The size of the
scanned
files warrants two separate emails, else I'd include them here.
I
scanned in full color at 300 dpi so you can see them in all their
glory.
-Alicia
--
--
In Liberty,
Caryn Ann Harlos
Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary
- [4]Caryn.Ann. Harlos at LP.org or Secretary at LP.org.
Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
We defend your rights
And oppose the use of force
Taxation is theft
--
--
In Liberty,
Caryn Ann Harlos
Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary
- [5]Caryn.Ann. Harlos at LP.org or Secretary at LP.org.
Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
We defend your rights
And oppose the use of force
Taxation is theft
References
1. mailto:caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
2. mailto:caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
3. mailto:lnc-business at hq.lp.org
4. mailto:Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org
5. mailto:Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org
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