[Lnc-business] my audit of LNC At-Large election

Caryn Ann Harlos caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
Thu Jul 12 19:58:50 EDT 2018


Alicia,

Here is where I think the issue keeps being lost.  *None of this is about
you doing something wrong*. None of this is about you at all but about our
process.  This keeps being personalized when it is not. In assisting with
the JC counts, a lot of errors were found in transferring the ballots to
the delegation sheets, so that is a critical part of the audit.  In fact,
to me, the most critical.

We have to ask ourselves if the answers we give ourselves here would be
satisfactory if this was one of our candidates.  And I submit they are
not.

But absolutely understood that you are extraordinarily busy.  The ballots
could be sent to me and I could scan them.  But it is all a moot point
unless the motion passes.

There is way too much defensiveness in a process that is not personal.
When I brought up the issue that Elizabeth brought up of delegation chairs
that were also candidates (or spouses of candidates) to some of those
people the reaction was "Oh my goodness, she is right!  That should not be
done in the future!"

This is not a battle between you and me and it seems like the narrative is
being put into that box.  It is not.  It is about our process.  The fact
that you have gotten organized results out of this process for so long is a
miracle and a testament to your data herding skills.  As more people pay
attention to what we actually do it is imperative that our internal
processes are much cleaner.  And on that point, I am immovable.

-Caryn Ann

On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 12:28 PM, Alicia Mattson via Lnc-business <
lnc-business at hq.lp.org> wrote:

>    Caryn Ann,
>    The specifics of the write-in votes are right there on the delegation
>    tally sheets.
>    I'm not planning to spend even more time right now to scan 48 more sets
>    of individual ballots.  Staff is coming up on an LP News deadline, and
>    I'm going to move on to other subjects today, with the first being
>    getting the Platform updated so they can highlight the changes for the
>    membership.  If the LNC wants a full independent audit and additional
>    scanning is needed, that time investment can come later.  I'm also
>    quickly approaching a policy deadline for the first draft of the 6/30
>    LNC minutes, so gotta do that, too.
>
>    I meant to make this point in my original transmission message, but
>    keep in mind what numbers I can or can't influence in this process.
>    The numbers originally written on the delegation tally sheets do not
>    come from me.  They come from delegation chairs who believe those
>    numbers to represent the vote within that affiliate.  If I have
>    accurately moved that number from the tally sheet into the spreadsheet,
>    then there's little reasonable complaint to be made.  For the instance
>    in which the state's total for me needed a correction, I have provided
>    the underlying individual ballots as backup evidence.  I have done the
>    same for the changes that impact those near me in the rankings.  I knew
>    as soon as I provided the state-by-state breakdowns that even further
>    down the ranking list on smaller changes, questions would exist as to
>    why something is different than the tally sheet which was submitted.
>    I've provided detailed explanations for those, and there's no real
>    motive for me to tweak the 15th-ranked person by 1 vote (or whatever)
>    if the data doesn't support that.  This should address most of the
>    reasonable questions.
>    And for what it's worth, as I said on the list over the past three
>    days, I was already building this and was about 95% done with it before
>    the motion for an independent audit even arose.
>    -Alicia
>
>    On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 12:50 AM, Caryn Ann Harlos
>    <[1]caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org> wrote:
>
>    I am doing a brief perusal, this is some fantastic data parsing.  I am
>    curious why the write-ins are not noted specifically?
>    And as far as Zane Sarwark - minors can be sustaining members with
>    their parents signing the pledge on their behalf, at least that is what
>    I have been told and seen.  Is Zane a sustaining member? If not, Nick
>    needs to get on that.  I do not think dead gorillas though can be
>    sustaining members so Harambe would be ineligible.  May he rest in
>    peace.
>    Will the individual ballots for the other states also be provided
>    rather than just TX and CA?
>    -Caryn Ann
>
>    On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 1:38 AM, Caryn Ann Harlos
>    <[2]caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org> wrote:
>
>    Thank you.  I will alert the people who have been asking for them.
>    This also answers Sam's questions as to how the sheets could be
>    transmitted - it is technologically trivial to scan them.
>
>    On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 1:17 AM, Alicia Mattson via Lnc-business
>    <[3]lnc-business at hq.lp.org> wrote:
>
>         The At-Large tallies were made under the immense time pressures
>      of the
>         tail end of the convention, and as in past years, it is not
>      surprising
>         for a post-convention audit to find errors that were not caught
>      onsite.
>         For your reading pleasure, you can review the appendices of the
>      minutes
>         of the previous two conventions for my analyses of those  human
>      errors,
>         which take place even though people are acting in good faith.
>         None of the errors revealed by my audit of this year's At-Large
>      race
>         change the outcome. The top 5 people on July 3 remain the top 5
>         post-audit.
>         The largest single discrepancy was that the Colorado delegation
>      tally
>         sheet under-reported Joe Buchman by 5 votes.  His relative
>      ranking did
>         not change, though.
>         Attached is an Excel workbook with three sheets (or tabs):
>           * The first contains the state-by-state breakdown that
>      represents the
>             tallies exactly as released onsite on July 3.  You'll notice
>      that
>             some cells are color-coded, and that's an indicator for you
>      to find
>             the related note at the bottom of that first tab to answer a
>             potential question about that number. Each color has its own
>             section of notes, with a header that explains the color
>      grouping.
>             White, green and yellow cells include values that did not
>      change in
>             the audited results.  The pink cells did change in the
>      audited
>             results for the reasons noted.
>           * The second tab contains the audited results, updated to
>      factor in
>             the issues in the pink cells.
>           * The third tab contains a comparison of the candidate rankings
>             reported onsite on July 3 with the rankings for the audited
>             results. The variances are minor and do not change the top 5
>             finishers.
>         Also attached are the delegation tally sheets for comparison with
>      the
>         details in the spreadsheet.  There are 50 sheets, rather than
>      51.  Not
>         present is the Wyoming sheet.  I don't know why that blank page
>      didn't
>         make it back into my collection, but Wyoming did not vote in any
>      of the
>         elections, and you can see from the attached spreadsheet that at
>      the
>         time of this vote they had 0 delegates credentialed.
>         The Mattson/Scheetz/Hayes cluster of candidates seems to be
>      attracting
>         the most interest, and the colored cells for that cluster of
>      candidates
>         involve the CA and TX ballots.  These are the two largest
>      delegations,
>         and they had the largest tallying task, which just gives more
>         opportunities for human error.  Immediately after sending this
>      message,
>         I'll follow up with another email which has the individual
>      ballots from
>         CA and TX attached for your tallying pleasure.  The size of the
>      scanned
>         files warrants two separate emails, else I'd include them here.
>      I
>         scanned in full color at 300 dpi so you can see them in all their
>         glory.
>         -Alicia
>
>    --
>    --
>    In Liberty,
>    Caryn Ann Harlos
>    Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary
>    - [4]Caryn.Ann. Harlos at LP.org or Secretary at LP.org.
>    Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
>    A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
>    We defend your rights
>    And oppose the use of force
>    Taxation is theft
>
>    --
>    --
>    In Liberty,
>    Caryn Ann Harlos
>    Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary
>    - [5]Caryn.Ann. Harlos at LP.org or Secretary at LP.org.
>    Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
>    A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
>    We defend your rights
>    And oppose the use of force
>    Taxation is theft
>
> References
>
>    1. mailto:caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
>    2. mailto:caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
>    3. mailto:lnc-business at hq.lp.org
>    4. mailto:Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org
>    5. mailto:Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org
>



-- 
-- 
*In Liberty,*
*Caryn Ann Harlos*
Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary - Caryn.Ann.
Harlos at LP.org <Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org> or Secretary at LP.org.
Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org

A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
*We defend your rights*
*And oppose the use of force*
*Taxation is theft*
-------------- next part --------------
   Alicia,
   Here is where I think the issue keeps being lost.  None of this is
   about you doing something wrong. None of this is about you at all but
   about our process.  This keeps being personalized when it is not. In
   assisting with the JC counts, a lot of errors were found in
   transferring the ballots to the delegation sheets, so that is a
   critical part of the audit.  In fact, to me, the most critical.
   We have to ask ourselves if the answers we give ourselves here would be
   satisfactory if this was one of our candidates.  And I submit they are
   not.
   But absolutely understood that you are extraordinarily busy.  The
   ballots could be sent to me and I could scan them.  But it is all a
   moot point unless the motion passes.
   There is way too much defensiveness in a process that is not personal.
   When I brought up the issue that Elizabeth brought up of delegation
   chairs that were also candidates (or spouses of candidates) to some of
   those people the reaction was "Oh my goodness, she is right!  That
   should not be done in the future!"
   This is not a battle between you and me and it seems like the narrative
   is being put into that box.  It is not.  It is about our process.  The
   fact that you have gotten organized results out of this process for so
   long is a miracle and a testament to your data herding skills.  As more
   people pay attention to what we actually do it is imperative that our
   internal processes are much cleaner.  And on that point, I am
   immovable.
   -Caryn Ann

   On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 12:28 PM, Alicia Mattson via Lnc-business
   <[1]lnc-business at hq.lp.org> wrote:

        Caryn Ann,
        The specifics of the write-in votes are right there on the
     delegation
        tally sheets.
        I'm not planning to spend even more time right now to scan 48
     more sets
        of individual ballots.  Staff is coming up on an LP News
     deadline, and
        I'm going to move on to other subjects today, with the first
     being
        getting the Platform updated so they can highlight the changes
     for the
        membership.  If the LNC wants a full independent audit and
     additional
        scanning is needed, that time investment can come later.  I'm
     also
        quickly approaching a policy deadline for the first draft of the
     6/30
        LNC minutes, so gotta do that, too.
        I meant to make this point in my original transmission message,
     but
        keep in mind what numbers I can or can't influence in this
     process.
        The numbers originally written on the delegation tally sheets do
     not
        come from me.  They come from delegation chairs who believe those
        numbers to represent the vote within that affiliate.  If I have
        accurately moved that number from the tally sheet into the
     spreadsheet,
        then there's little reasonable complaint to be made.  For the
     instance
        in which the state's total for me needed a correction, I have
     provided
        the underlying individual ballots as backup evidence.  I have
     done the
        same for the changes that impact those near me in the rankings.
     I knew
        as soon as I provided the state-by-state breakdowns that even
     further
        down the ranking list on smaller changes, questions would exist
     as to
        why something is different than the tally sheet which was
     submitted.
        I've provided detailed explanations for those, and there's no
     real
        motive for me to tweak the 15th-ranked person by 1 vote (or
     whatever)
        if the data doesn't support that.  This should address most of
     the
        reasonable questions.
        And for what it's worth, as I said on the list over the past
     three
        days, I was already building this and was about 95% done with it
     before
        the motion for an independent audit even arose.
        -Alicia
        On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 12:50 AM, Caryn Ann Harlos
        <[1][2]caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org> wrote:
        I am doing a brief perusal, this is some fantastic data parsing.
     I am
        curious why the write-ins are not noted specifically?
        And as far as Zane Sarwark - minors can be sustaining members
     with
        their parents signing the pledge on their behalf, at least that
     is what
        I have been told and seen.  Is Zane a sustaining member? If not,
     Nick
        needs to get on that.  I do not think dead gorillas though can be
        sustaining members so Harambe would be ineligible.  May he rest
     in
        peace.
        Will the individual ballots for the other states also be provided
        rather than just TX and CA?
        -Caryn Ann
        On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 1:38 AM, Caryn Ann Harlos
        <[2][3]caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org> wrote:
        Thank you.  I will alert the people who have been asking for
     them.
        This also answers Sam's questions as to how the sheets could be
        transmitted - it is technologically trivial to scan them.
        On Thu, Jul 12, 2018 at 1:17 AM, Alicia Mattson via Lnc-business

      <[3][4]lnc-business at hq.lp.org> wrote:
           The At-Large tallies were made under the immense time pressures
        of the
           tail end of the convention, and as in past years, it is not
        surprising
           for a post-convention audit to find errors that were not caught
        onsite.
           For your reading pleasure, you can review the appendices of the
        minutes
           of the previous two conventions for my analyses of those  human
        errors,
           which take place even though people are acting in good faith.
           None of the errors revealed by my audit of this year's At-Large
        race
           change the outcome. The top 5 people on July 3 remain the top 5
           post-audit.
           The largest single discrepancy was that the Colorado delegation
        tally
           sheet under-reported Joe Buchman by 5 votes.  His relative
        ranking did
           not change, though.
           Attached is an Excel workbook with three sheets (or tabs):
             * The first contains the state-by-state breakdown that
        represents the
               tallies exactly as released onsite on July 3.  You'll
   notice
        that
               some cells are color-coded, and that's an indicator for you
        to find
               the related note at the bottom of that first tab to answer
   a
               potential question about that number. Each color has its
   own
               section of notes, with a header that explains the color
        grouping.
               White, green and yellow cells include values that did not
        change in
               the audited results.  The pink cells did change in the
        audited
               results for the reasons noted.
             * The second tab contains the audited results, updated to
        factor in
               the issues in the pink cells.
             * The third tab contains a comparison of the candidate
   rankings
               reported onsite on July 3 with the rankings for the audited
               results. The variances are minor and do not change the top
   5
               finishers.
           Also attached are the delegation tally sheets for comparison
   with
        the
           details in the spreadsheet.  There are 50 sheets, rather than
        51.  Not
           present is the Wyoming sheet.  I don't know why that blank page
        didn't
           make it back into my collection, but Wyoming did not vote in
   any
        of the
           elections, and you can see from the attached spreadsheet that
   at
        the
           time of this vote they had 0 delegates credentialed.
           The Mattson/Scheetz/Hayes cluster of candidates seems to be
        attracting
           the most interest, and the colored cells for that cluster of
        candidates
           involve the CA and TX ballots.  These are the two largest
        delegations,
           and they had the largest tallying task, which just gives more
           opportunities for human error.  Immediately after sending this
        message,
           I'll follow up with another email which has the individual
        ballots from
           CA and TX attached for your tallying pleasure.  The size of the
        scanned
           files warrants two separate emails, else I'd include them here.
        I
           scanned in full color at 300 dpi so you can see them in all
   their
           glory.
           -Alicia
      --
      --
      In Liberty,
      Caryn Ann Harlos
      Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary

        - [4]Caryn.Ann. Harlos at LP.org or Secretary at LP.org.
        Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
        A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
        We defend your rights
        And oppose the use of force
        Taxation is theft
        --
        --
        In Liberty,
        Caryn Ann Harlos
        Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary
        - [5]Caryn.Ann. Harlos at LP.org or Secretary at LP.org.
        Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
        A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
        We defend your rights
        And oppose the use of force
        Taxation is theft
     References
        1. mailto:[5]caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
        2. mailto:[6]caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
        3. mailto:[7]lnc-business at hq.lp.org
        4. mailto:[8]Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org
        5. mailto:[9]Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org

   --
   --
   In Liberty,
   Caryn Ann Harlos
   Libertarian Party and Libertarian National Committee Secretary
   - [10]Caryn.Ann. Harlos at LP.org or Secretary at LP.org.
   Chair, LP Historical Preservation Committee - LPedia at LP.org
   A haiku to the Statement of Principles:
   We defend your rights
   And oppose the use of force
   Taxation is theft

References

   1. mailto:lnc-business at hq.lp.org
   2. mailto:caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
   3. mailto:caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
   4. mailto:lnc-business at hq.lp.org
   5. mailto:caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
   6. mailto:caryn.ann.harlos at lp.org
   7. mailto:lnc-business at hq.lp.org
   8. mailto:Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org
   9. mailto:Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org
  10. mailto:Caryn.Ann.Harlos at LP.org


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